Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
vs

52 shared · 14 different

core competencies

39%medium risk
Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
Risk Score31.6%38.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th77th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$54,540$48,970
Employment2K6K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Repairing
Thinking Creatively
Production and Processing
Design
Engineering and Technology
Static Strength
Operation and Control
Troubleshooting

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

8 of 15 at risk
84%Study blueprints or layouts of metal workpieces to determine grinding procedures, and to plan machine setups and operational sequences.
78%Compute numbers, widths, and angles of cutting tools, micrometers, scales, and gauges, and adjust tools to produce specified cuts.
76%Inspect dies to detect defects, assess wear, and verify specifications, using micrometers, steel gauge pins, and loupes.
61%Monitor machine operations to determine whether adjustments are necessary, stopping machines when problems occur.
59%Remove finished workpieces from machines and place them in boxes or on racks, setting aside pieces that are defective.

Wage Comparison

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners earns -$5,570(-10%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
10th
$39,150$33,770
25th
$47,520$39,520
Median
$54,540$48,970
75th
$66,590$60,210
90th
$79,690$74,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

$30,097

from $48,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $7,187 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Tool

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
Find transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticFind transitions from Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners