Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Physicists
vs

39 shared · 38 different

core competencies

29%medium risk
Astronomers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPhysicistsAstronomers
Risk Score29.3%28.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile35th33th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$166,290$132,170
Employment21K2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Training and Teaching Others
Education and Training
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Originality
Number Facility
Analyzing Data or Information
Engineering and Technology
Documenting/Recording Information
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Speed of Closure
Fluency of Ideas

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Physicists

34%

total discount

Astronomers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Physicists

6 of 15 at risk
76%Direct testing and monitoring of contamination of radioactive equipment, and recording of personnel and plant area radiation exposure data.
53%Write research proposals to receive funding.
53%Report experimental results by writing papers for scientific journals or by presenting information at scientific conferences.
52%Design computer simulations to model physical data so that it can be better understood.
51%Analyze data from research conducted to detect and measure physical phenomena.

Astronomers

4 of 15 at risk
51%Present research findings at scientific conferences and in papers written for scientific journals.
51%Measure radio, infrared, gamma, and x-ray emissions from extraterrestrial sources.
51%Develop theories based on personal observations or on observations and theories of other astronomers.
51%Develop instrumentation and software for astronomical observation and analysis.
49%Study celestial phenomena, using a variety of ground-based and space-borne telescopes and scientific instruments.

Wage Comparison

Astronomers earns -$34,120(-21%) vs Physicists
PhysicistsAstronomers
10th
$80,020$70,730
25th
$117,450$94,990
Median
$166,290$132,170
75th
$210,260$177,690
90th
$239,200$191,880

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Physicists20282035
Astronomers20282035
20242030203520402045

Astronomers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Physicists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Physicists

$117,534

from $166,290

Astronomers

$93,999

from $132,170

After adjusting for AI risk, Physicists offers $23,534 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Physicists

0

Unique to Astronomers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
PhysicistsAstronomers