Pilots, Ship vs Bridge and Lock Tenders AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Pilots, Ship

26 shared · 57 different

core competencies

medium risk

Bridge and Lock Tenders

Side-by-Side Comparison

Pilots, Ship leads 5–0

Metric	Pilots, Ship	Bridge and Lock Tenders
Risk Score	25.8%	40.9%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	21th	83th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	5 / 15	8 / 15
Median Salary	$85,540	$58,490
Employment	35K	3K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Transportation

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Far Vision

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Spatial Orientation

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Operation and Control

Geography

Law and Government

Processing Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pilots, Ship

32%

total discount

Bridge and Lock Tenders

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pilots, Ship

5 of 15 at risk

88%Maintain ship logs.

84%Report to appropriate authorities any violations of federal or state pilotage laws.

78%Operate ship-to-shore radios to exchange information needed for ship operations.

53%Consult maps, charts, weather reports, or navigation equipment to determine and direct ship movements.

51%Set ships' courses that avoid reefs, outlying shoals, or other hazards, using navigational aids, such as lighthouses or buoys.

Bridge and Lock Tenders

8 of 15 at risk

86%Record names, types, and destinations of vessels passing through bridge openings or locks, and numbers of trains or vehicles crossing bridges.

86%Prepare accident reports.

61%Inspect canal and bridge equipment, and areas such as roadbeds for damage or defects, reporting problems to supervisors as necessary.

59%Observe approaching vessels to determine size and speed, and listen for whistle signals indicating desire to pass.

57%Check that bridges are clear of vehicles and pedestrians prior to opening.

Wage Comparison

Bridge and Lock Tenders earns -$27,050(-32%) vs Pilots, Ship

Pilots, ShipBridge and Lock Tenders

10th

$46,260$32,690

25th

$60,800$43,700

Median

$85,540$58,490

75th

$124,530$69,530

90th

$164,230$74,400

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pilots, Ship2028–2035

Bridge and Lock Tenders2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Pilots, Ship has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bridge and Lock Tenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pilots, Ship

$63,496

from $85,540

Bridge and Lock Tenders

$34,556

from $58,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Pilots, Ship offers $28,940 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Pilots,

Unique to Bridge

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Social Intelligence

Pilots, ShipBridge and Lock Tenders

Find transitions from Pilots, Ship Find transitions from Bridge and Lock Tenders