Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Pilots, Ship
vs

31 shared · 53 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPilots, ShipBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
Risk Score25.8%24.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile21th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$85,540N/A
Employment35KN/A

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Geography
Far Vision
Law and Government
Operation and Control
Assisting and Caring for Others
Flexibility of Closure
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Deductive Reasoning
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Education and Training
Glare Sensitivity

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pilots, Ship

32%

total discount

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pilots, Ship

5 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain ship logs.
84%Report to appropriate authorities any violations of federal or state pilotage laws.
78%Operate ship-to-shore radios to exchange information needed for ship operations.
53%Consult maps, charts, weather reports, or navigation equipment to determine and direct ship movements.
51%Set ships' courses that avoid reefs, outlying shoals, or other hazards, using navigational aids, such as lighthouses or buoys.

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

7 of 15 at risk
87%Announce stops to passengers.
87%Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.
85%Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.
85%Report delays or accidents.
67%Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.

Wage Comparison

Pilots, ShipBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
10th
$46,260N/A
25th
$60,800N/A
Median
$85,540N/A
75th
$124,530N/A
90th
$164,230N/A

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pilots, Ship20282035
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity20282035
20242030203520402045

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pilots, Ship.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pilots,

0

Unique to Bus

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Pilots, ShipBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity