Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Pilots, Ship
vs

43 shared · 42 different

core competencies

44%medium risk
Locomotive Firers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPilots, ShipLocomotive Firers
Risk Score25.8%44.0%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th90th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 158 / 11
Median Salary$85,540N/A
Employment35KN/A

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Spatial Orientation
Training and Teaching Others
Geography
Law and Government
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Handling and Moving Objects
Transportation
Far Vision
Education and Training
Glare Sensitivity
Flexibility of Closure
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pilots, Ship

32%

total discount

Locomotive Firers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pilots, Ship

5 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain ship logs.
84%Report to appropriate authorities any violations of federal or state pilotage laws.
78%Operate ship-to-shore radios to exchange information needed for ship operations.
53%Consult maps, charts, weather reports, or navigation equipment to determine and direct ship movements.
51%Set ships' courses that avoid reefs, outlying shoals, or other hazards, using navigational aids, such as lighthouses or buoys.

Locomotive Firers

8 of 11 at risk
88%Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.
77%Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.
74%Receive signals from workers in rear of train and relay that information to engineers.
69%Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.
57%Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

Wage Comparison

Pilots, ShipLocomotive Firers
10th
$46,260N/A
25th
$60,800N/A
Median
$85,540N/A
75th
$124,530N/A
90th
$164,230N/A

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pilots, Ship20282035
Locomotive Firers20282035
20242030203520402045

Pilots, Ship has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locomotive Firers.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pilots,

0

Unique to Locomotive

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Pilots, ShipLocomotive Firers