Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Pilots, Ship
vs

62 shared · 26 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPilots, ShipRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
Risk Score25.8%31.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th51th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$58,030
Employment35K3K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Controlling Machines and Processes
Far Vision
Glare Sensitivity
Law and Government
Spatial Orientation
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Processing Information
Operation and Control
Night Vision

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pilots, Ship

32%

total discount

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pilots, Ship

5 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain ship logs.
84%Report to appropriate authorities any violations of federal or state pilotage laws.
78%Operate ship-to-shore radios to exchange information needed for ship operations.
53%Consult maps, charts, weather reports, or navigation equipment to determine and direct ship movements.
51%Set ships' courses that avoid reefs, outlying shoals, or other hazards, using navigational aids, such as lighthouses or buoys.

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Read switching instructions and daily car schedules to determine work to be performed, or receive orders from yard conductors.
88%Observe water levels and oil, air, and steam pressure gauges to ensure proper operation of equipment.
86%Inspect track for defects such as broken rails and switch malfunctions.
84%Observe and respond to wayside and cab signals, including color light signals, position signals, torpedoes, flags, and hot box detectors.
84%Inspect the condition of stationary trains, rolling stock, and equipment.

Wage Comparison

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers earns -$27,510(-32%) vs Pilots, Ship
Pilots, ShipRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
10th
$46,260$44,510
25th
$60,800$51,770
Median
$85,540$58,030
75th
$124,530$65,530
90th
$164,230$79,070

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pilots, Ship2028–2035
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Pilots, Ship has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pilots, Ship

$63,496

from $85,540

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

$39,524

from $58,030

After adjusting for AI risk, Pilots, Ship offers $23,972 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pilots,

0

Unique to Rail

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Pilots, ShipRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
Find transitions from Pilots, ShipFind transitions from Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers