Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
vs

67 shared · 12 different

core competencies

21%low risk
Construction Carpenters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPipe Fitters and SteamfittersConstruction Carpenters
Risk Score17.8%20.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th8th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$59,310
Employment456K698K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Building and Construction
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Controlling Machines and Processes
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Administration and Management
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Control Precision
Mechanical
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Wage Comparison

Construction Carpenters earns -$3,660(-6%) vs Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersConstruction Carpenters
10th
$40,670$38,760
25th
$48,860$47,550
Median
$62,970$59,310
75th
$81,900$75,620
90th
$105,150$98,370

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters2028–2035
Construction Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Construction Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $4,818 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pipe

0

Unique to Construction

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersConstruction Carpenters
Find transitions from Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersFind transitions from Construction Carpenters