Takeover Tracker
vs

50 shared · 20 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPipe Fitters and SteamfittersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
Risk Score17.8%13.4%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 151 / 10
Median Salary$62,970$48,680
Employment456K39K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Mechanical
Design
Building and Construction
Controlling Machines and Processes
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Performing General Physical Activities
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Processing Information
Oral Comprehension

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

1 of 10 at risk
85%Read blueprints and select appropriate insulation, based on space characteristics and the heat retaining or excluding characteristics of the material.
47%Move controls, buttons, or levers to start blowers and regulate flow of materials through nozzles.
47%Fill blower hoppers with insulating materials.
11%Measure and cut insulation for covering surfaces, using tape measures, handsaws, power saws, knives, or scissors.
11%Fit, wrap, staple, or glue insulating materials to structures or surfaces, using hand tools or wires.

Wage Comparison

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall earns -$14,290(-23%) vs Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
10th
$40,670$35,950
25th
$48,860$40,270
Median
$62,970$48,680
75th
$81,900$60,420
90th
$105,150$77,160

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters20282035
Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall20282035
20242030203520402045

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

$42,142

from $48,680

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $9,632 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pipe

0

Unique to Insulation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall