Takeover Tracker
vs

57 shared · 13 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPipe Fitters and SteamfittersRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Risk Score17.8%20.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$58,540
Employment456K1K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Design
Controlling Machines and Processes
Thinking Creatively
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Mechanical
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Visualization
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Fluency of Ideas
Originality
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

2 of 15 at risk
53%Transfer clay structures to curing ovens, melting tanks, and drawing kilns, using forklifts.
51%Mix specified amounts of sand, clay, mortar powder, and water to form refractory clay or mortar, using shovels or mixing machines.
49%Fasten stopper heads to rods with metal pins to assemble refractory stoppers used to plug pouring nozzles of steel ladles.
49%Dump and tamp clay in molds, using tamping tools.
47%Measure furnace walls to determine dimensions and cut required number of sheets from plastic block, using saws.

Wage Comparison

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons earns -$4,430(-7%) vs Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
10th
$40,670$37,050
25th
$48,860$48,380
Median
$62,970$58,540
75th
$81,900$73,940
90th
$105,150$81,440

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters20282035
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons20282035
20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

$46,768

from $58,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $5,006 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pipe

0

Unique to Refractory

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Pipe Fitters and SteamfittersRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons