Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Pipelayers
vs

57 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPipelayersHelpers--Carpenters
Risk Score21.6%23.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile10th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 145 / 15
Median Salary$48,710$41,600
Employment34K25K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

English Language
Transportation
Production and Processing
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operation and Control
Building and Construction
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Pipelayers

28%

total discount

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Pipelayers

3 of 14 at risk
84%Lay out pipe routes, following written instructions or blueprints and coordinating layouts with supervisors.
74%Check slopes for conformance to requirements, using levels or lasers.
74%Locate existing pipes needing repair or replacement, using magnetic or radio indicators.
49%Cover pipes with earth or other materials.
49%Dig trenches to desired or required depths, by hand or using trenching tools.

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters earns -$7,110(-15%) vs Pipelayers
PipelayersHelpers--Carpenters
10th
$36,840$31,540
25th
$42,320$35,870
Median
$48,710$41,600
75th
$60,980$46,780
90th
$80,710$52,380

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Pipelayers20282035
Helpers--Carpenters20282035
20242030203520402045

Pipelayers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Pipelayers

$38,189

from $48,710

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipelayers offers $6,502 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Pipelayers

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
PipelayersHelpers--Carpenters