Side-by-Side Comparison
Plumbers leads 5–0| Metric | Plumbers | Electricians |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 18.7% | 20.5% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 5th | 8th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 2 / 15 | 4 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $62,970 | $62,350 |
| Employment | 456K | 743K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Visual Color Discrimination
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Administration and Management
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Troubleshooting
Thinking Creatively
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Mathematical Reasoning
Installation
Processing Information
Documenting/Recording Information
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Plumbers
29%
total discount
Electricians
30%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Plumbers
2 of 15 at risk87%Keep records of work assignments.
54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.
48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.
45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.
38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.
Electricians
4 of 15 at risk77%Maintain current electrician's license or identification card to meet governmental regulations.
54%Diagnose malfunctioning systems, apparatus, or components, using test equipment and hand tools to locate the cause of a breakdown and correct the problem.
53%Prepare sketches or follow blueprints to determine the location of wiring or equipment and to ensure conformance to building and safety codes.
51%Plan layout and installation of electrical wiring, equipment, or fixtures, based on job specifications and local codes.
43%Inspect electrical systems, equipment, or components to identify hazards, defects, or the need for adjustment or repair, and to ensure compliance with codes.
Wage Comparison
Electricians earns -$620(-1%) vs Plumbers
PlumbersElectricians
10th
$40,670$39,430
25th
$48,860$48,820
Median
$62,970$62,350
75th
$81,900$81,730
90th
$105,150$106,030
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Plumbers2028–2035
Electricians2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Plumbers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Electricians.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Plumbers
$51,195
from $62,970
Electricians
$49,587
from $62,350
After adjusting for AI risk, Plumbers offers $1,608 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Plumbers
0
Unique to Electricians
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
PlumbersElectricians