Takeover Tracker
19%low risk
Plumbers
vs

72 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPlumbersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians
Risk Score18.7%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile5th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$62,970$50,540
Employment456K19K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Building and Construction
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Public Safety and Security
Education and Training
Engineering and Technology
English Language
Repairing
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Plumbers

29%

total discount

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Plumbers

2 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of work assignments.
54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.
48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.
45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.
38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

2 of 15 at risk
86%List parts needed, estimate costs, and plan work procedures, using parts lists, technical manuals, or diagrams.
53%Confer with customers, read work orders, or examine vehicles needing repair to determine the nature and extent of damage.
47%Connect electrical systems to outside power sources and activate switches to test the operation of appliances or light fixtures.
47%Connect water hoses to inlet pipes of plumbing systems and test operation of toilets or sinks.
39%Examine or test operation of parts or systems to ensure completeness of repairs.

Wage Comparison

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians earns -$12,430(-20%) vs Plumbers
PlumbersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians
10th
$40,670$35,480
25th
$48,860$43,370
Median
$62,970$50,540
75th
$81,900$63,300
90th
$105,150$76,650

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Plumbers20282035
Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Plumbers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Plumbers

$51,195

from $62,970

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

$41,529

from $50,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Plumbers offers $9,666 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Plumbers

0

Unique to Recreational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
PlumbersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians