Side-by-Side Comparison
Plumbers leads 5–0| Metric | Plumbers | Tile and Marble Setters |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 18.7% | 26.5% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Medium Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 5th | 23th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 2 / 15 | 3 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $62,970 | $52,240 |
| Employment | 456K | 39K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Mechanical
Thinking Creatively
Building and Construction
Design
Repairing
Customer and Personal Service
Public Safety and Security
Education and Training
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Handling and Moving Objects
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Plumbers
29%
total discount
Tile and Marble Setters
26%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Plumbers
2 of 15 at risk87%Keep records of work assignments.
54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.
48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.
45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.
38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.
Tile and Marble Setters
3 of 15 at risk85%Prepare cost and labor estimates, based on calculations of time and materials needed for project.
71%Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.
53%Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.
41%Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.
41%Level concrete and allow to dry.
Wage Comparison
Tile and Marble Setters earns -$10,730(-17%) vs Plumbers
PlumbersTile and Marble Setters
10th
$40,670$36,140
25th
$48,860$44,540
Median
$62,970$52,240
75th
$81,900$64,980
90th
$105,150$82,960
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Plumbers2028–2035
Tile and Marble Setters2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Plumbers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tile and Marble Setters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Plumbers
$51,195
from $62,970
Tile and Marble Setters
$38,407
from $52,240
After adjusting for AI risk, Plumbers offers $12,788 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Plumbers
0
Unique to Tile
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
PlumbersTile and Marble Setters