Takeover Tracker
25%medium risk
Police Patrol Officers
vs

60 shared · 36 different

core competencies

27%medium risk
Immigration and Customs Inspectors

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPolice Patrol OfficersImmigration and Customs Inspectors
Risk Score25.2%27.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile20th27th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 11
Median Salary$76,290$93,580
Employment667K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Education and Training
Psychology
Telecommunications
Reaction Time
Customer and Personal Service
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Public Safety and Security
Administration and Management

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Police Patrol Officers

37%

total discount

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Police Patrol Officers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor traffic to ensure motorists observe traffic regulations and exhibit safe driving procedures.
84%Process prisoners, and prepare and maintain records of prisoner bookings and prisoner status during booking and pre-trial process.
84%Relay complaint and emergency-request information to appropriate agency dispatchers.
64%Record facts to prepare reports that document incidents and activities.
47%Monitor, note, report, and investigate suspicious persons and situations, safety hazards, and unusual or illegal activity in patrol area.

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

3 of 11 at risk
86%Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions.
85%Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods.
53%Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations.
49%Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing.
49%Investigate applications for duty refunds and petition for remission or mitigation of penalties when warranted.

Wage Comparison

Immigration and Customs Inspectors earns +$17,290(+23%) vs Police Patrol Officers
Police Patrol OfficersImmigration and Customs Inspectors
10th
$47,640$54,160
25th
$58,980$68,390
Median
$76,290$93,580
75th
$97,190$120,080
90th
$115,280$159,410

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Police Patrol Officers2028–2035
Immigration and Customs Inspectors2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Police Patrol Officers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Immigration and Customs Inspectors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Police Patrol Officers

$57,042

from $76,290

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

$67,864

from $93,580

After adjusting for AI risk, Immigration and Customs Inspectors offers $10,822 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Police

0

Unique to Immigration

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Police Patrol OfficersImmigration and Customs Inspectors
Find transitions from Police Patrol OfficersFind transitions from Immigration and Customs Inspectors