Takeover Tracker
25%medium risk
Police Patrol Officers
vs

31 shared · 58 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Security Guards

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPolice Patrol OfficersSecurity Guards
Risk Score25.2%38.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile20th76th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 156 / 14
Median Salary$76,290$38,370
Employment667K1.2M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government
Assisting and Caring for Others
Psychology
Education and Training
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Customer and Personal Service
Public Safety and Security
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Administration and Management
Interacting With Computers
Performing Administrative Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Police Patrol Officers

37%

total discount

Security Guards

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Police Patrol Officers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor traffic to ensure motorists observe traffic regulations and exhibit safe driving procedures.
84%Process prisoners, and prepare and maintain records of prisoner bookings and prisoner status during booking and pre-trial process.
84%Relay complaint and emergency-request information to appropriate agency dispatchers.
64%Record facts to prepare reports that document incidents and activities.
47%Monitor, note, report, and investigate suspicious persons and situations, safety hazards, and unusual or illegal activity in patrol area.

Security Guards

6 of 14 at risk
86%Monitor and authorize entrance and departure of employees, visitors, and other persons to guard against theft and maintain security of premises.
86%Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.
86%Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.
85%Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire or presence of unauthorized persons.
61%Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Wage Comparison

Security Guards earns -$37,920(-50%) vs Police Patrol Officers
Police Patrol OfficersSecurity Guards
10th
$47,640$29,800
25th
$58,980$35,100
Median
$76,290$38,370
75th
$97,190$46,660
90th
$115,280$59,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Police Patrol Officers2028–2035
Security Guards2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Police Patrol Officers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Guards.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Police Patrol Officers

$57,042

from $76,290

Security Guards

$23,693

from $38,370

After adjusting for AI risk, Police Patrol Officers offers $33,349 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Police

0

Unique to Security

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Police Patrol OfficersSecurity Guards
Find transitions from Police Patrol OfficersFind transitions from Security Guards