Program Directors vs First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Program Directors

67 shared · 19 different

core competencies

medium risk

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Program Directors leads 3–2

Metric	Program Directors	First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers
Risk Score	30.8%	32.6%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	43th	54th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	10 / 15	7 / 15
Median Salary	$83,480	$84,130
Employment	145K	219K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Selling or Influencing Others

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Communications and Media

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Telecommunications

Performing Administrative Activities

Sales and Marketing

Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Thinking Creatively

Computers and Electronics

Scheduling Work and Activities

Clerical

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Program Directors

36%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Program Directors

10 of 15 at risk

87%Monitor network transmissions for advisories concerning daily program schedules, program content, special feeds, or program changes.

86%Check completed program logs for accuracy and conformance with Federal Communications Commission (FCC) rules and regulations and resolve program log inaccuracies.

84%Establish work schedules and assign work to staff members.

69%Prepare copy and edit tape so that material is ready for broadcasting.

57%Develop promotions for current programs and specials.

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

7 of 15 at risk

88%Inventory stock and reorder when inventories drop to specified levels.

87%Keep records pertaining to purchases, sales, and requisitions.

86%Prepare sales and inventory reports for management and budget departments.

86%Prepare rental or lease agreements, specifying charges and payment procedures for use of machinery, tools, or other items.

85%Plan and prepare work schedules, and assign employees to specific duties.

Wage Comparison

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers earns +$650(+1%) vs Program Directors

Program DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

10th

$43,060$48,880

25th

$59,810$62,730

Median

$83,480$84,130

75th

$131,160$118,190

90th

$198,530$162,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Program Directors2028–2035

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Program Directors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Program Directors

$57,735

from $83,480

First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

$56,695

from $84,130

After adjusting for AI risk, Program Directors offers $1,040 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Program

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Decision Complexity

Program DirectorsFirst-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

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