Takeover Tracker
31%medium risk
Program Directors
vs

60 shared · 29 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Transportation Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricProgram DirectorsTransportation Managers
Risk Score30.8%27.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile43th29th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$83,480$102,010
Employment145K213K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Communications and Media
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Telecommunications
English Language
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Thinking Creatively
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Public Safety and Security
Performing Administrative Activities
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Staffing Organizational Units

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Program Directors

36%

total discount

Transportation Managers

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Program Directors

10 of 15 at risk
87%Monitor network transmissions for advisories concerning daily program schedules, program content, special feeds, or program changes.
86%Check completed program logs for accuracy and conformance with Federal Communications Commission (FCC) rules and regulations and resolve program log inaccuracies.
84%Establish work schedules and assign work to staff members.
69%Prepare copy and edit tape so that material is ready for broadcasting.
57%Develop promotions for current programs and specials.

Transportation Managers

6 of 15 at risk
86%Monitor spending to ensure that expenses are consistent with approved budgets.
80%Implement schedule or policy changes for transportation services.
59%Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.
51%Direct activities related to dispatching, routing, or tracking transportation vehicles, such as aircraft or railroad cars.
51%Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes.

Wage Comparison

Transportation Managers earns +$18,530(+22%) vs Program Directors
Program DirectorsTransportation Managers
10th
$43,060$61,200
25th
$59,810$78,360
Median
$83,480$102,010
75th
$131,160$136,050
90th
$198,530$180,590

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Program Directors2028–2035
Transportation Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Transportation Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Program Directors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Program Directors

$57,735

from $83,480

Transportation Managers

$73,600

from $102,010

After adjusting for AI risk, Transportation Managers offers $15,865 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Program

0

Unique to Transportation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Program DirectorsTransportation Managers
Find transitions from Program DirectorsFind transitions from Transportation Managers