Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
vs

74 shared · 18 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Rough Carpenters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment OperatorsRough Carpenters
Risk Score29.8%23.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile38th15th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$67,370$59,310
Employment16K698K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Transportation
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Building and Construction
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Control Precision
Far Vision
Production and Processing
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Reaction Time

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators

28%

total discount

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators

4 of 15 at risk
84%Observe leveling indicator arms to verify levelness and alignment of tracks.
57%Adjust controls of machines that spread, shape, raise, level, or align track, according to specifications.
55%Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.
53%Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.
49%Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Wage Comparison

Rough Carpenters earns -$8,060(-12%) vs Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment OperatorsRough Carpenters
10th
$45,720$38,760
25th
$51,630$47,550
Median
$67,370$59,310
75th
$79,330$75,620
90th
$84,840$98,370

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators2028–2035
Rough Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Rough Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators

$47,267

from $67,370

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

After adjusting for AI risk, Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators offers $1,853 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rail-Track

0

Unique to Rough

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment OperatorsRough Carpenters
Find transitions from Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment OperatorsFind transitions from Rough Carpenters