Recreational Therapists vs Child, Family, and School Social Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Recreational Therapists

62 shared · 16 different

core competencies

medium risk

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Recreational Therapists leads 5–0

Metric	Recreational Therapists	Child, Family, and School Social Workers
Risk Score	22.7%	31.7%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	13th	49th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	2 / 11	5 / 15
Median Salary	$60,280	$58,570
Employment	15K	383K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities

Selling or Influencing Others

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Scheduling Work and Activities

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Active Listening

Processing Information

Psychology

Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Clerical

Interacting With Computers

Law and Government

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Recreational Therapists

36%

total discount

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Recreational Therapists

2 of 11 at risk

86%Prepare and submit reports and charts to treatment team to reflect patients' reactions and evidence of progress or regression.

52%Develop treatment plan to meet needs of patient, based on needs assessment, patient interests, and objectives of therapy.

47%Develop discharge plans for patients.

45%Obtain information from medical records, medical staff, family members and the patients themselves to assess patients' capabilities, needs and interests.

43%Counsel and encourage patients to develop leisure activities.

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

5 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain case history records and prepare reports.

86%Refer clients to community resources for services, such as job placement, debt counseling, legal aid, housing, medical treatment, or financial assistance, and provide concrete information, such as where to go and how to apply.

86%Collect supplementary information needed to assist client, such as employment records, medical records, or school reports.

84%Arrange for medical, psychiatric, and other tests that may disclose causes of difficulties and indicate remedial measures.

51%Address legal issues, such as child abuse and discipline, assisting with hearings and providing testimony to inform custody arrangements.

Wage Comparison

Child, Family, and School Social Workers earns -$1,710(-3%) vs Recreational Therapists

Recreational TherapistsChild, Family, and School Social Workers

10th

$39,520$40,580

25th

$48,230$47,480

Median

$60,280$58,570

75th

$77,680$74,060

90th

$96,600$94,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Recreational Therapists2028–2035

Child, Family, and School Social Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Recreational Therapists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Child, Family, and School Social Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Recreational Therapists

$46,615

from $60,280

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

$40,021

from $58,570

After adjusting for AI risk, Recreational Therapists offers $6,594 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Recreational

Unique to Child,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Social Intelligence

Decision Complexity

Regulatory Barriers

Recreational TherapistsChild, Family, and School Social Workers

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