Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRefrigeration Mechanics and InstallersControl and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door
Risk Score16.4%25.5%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile2th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$59,810$74,690
Employment397K47K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Installation
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Hearing Sensitivity
Interacting With Computers
Physics
Controlling Machines and Processes
Troubleshooting
Static Strength
Repairing
Mechanical
Systems Evaluation

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

31%

total discount

Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

2 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.
87%Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.
37%Observe and test system operation, using gauges and instruments.
21%Supervise and instruct assistants.
13%Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door

4 of 15 at risk
87%Record meter readings and installation data on meter cards, work orders, or field service orders, or enter data into hand-held computers.
85%Record maintenance information, including test results, material usage, and repairs made.
85%Shut off service and notify repair crews when major repairs are required, such as the replacement of underground pipes or wiring.
77%Report hazardous field situations and damaged or missing meters.
47%Turn meters on or off to establish or close service.

Wage Comparison

Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door earns +$14,880(+25%) vs Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersControl and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door
10th
$39,130$43,840
25th
$47,850$53,060
Median
$59,810$74,690
75th
$74,820$97,400
90th
$91,020$109,050

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers20282035
Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door20282035
20242030203520402045

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

$50,025

from $59,810

Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door

$55,614

from $74,690

After adjusting for AI risk, Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door offers $5,589 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Refrigeration

0

Unique to Control

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersControl and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door