Takeover Tracker
16%low risk
Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
vs

74 shared · 25 different

core competencies

29%medium risk
Geothermal Technicians

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRefrigeration Mechanics and InstallersGeothermal Technicians
Risk Score16.4%28.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile2th32th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$59,810$48,640
Employment397K184K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Installation
Building and Construction
Interacting With Computers
Perceptual Speed
Engineering and Technology
Hearing Sensitivity
Repairing
Equipment Selection

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

31%

total discount

Geothermal Technicians

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

2 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.
87%Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.
37%Observe and test system operation, using gauges and instruments.
21%Supervise and instruct assistants.
13%Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

Geothermal Technicians

6 of 15 at risk
88%Collect and record data associated with operating geothermal power plants or well fields.
86%Adjust power production systems to meet load and distribution demands.
86%Prepare and maintain logs, reports, or other documentation of work performed.
84%Monitor and adjust operations of geothermal power plant equipment or systems.
55%Determine whether emergency or auxiliary systems will be needed to keep properties heated or cooled in extreme weather conditions.

Wage Comparison

Geothermal Technicians earns -$11,170(-19%) vs Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersGeothermal Technicians
10th
$39,130$35,270
25th
$47,850$40,700
Median
$59,810$48,640
75th
$74,820$61,090
90th
$91,020$77,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers2028–2035
Geothermal Technicians2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Geothermal Technicians.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

$50,025

from $59,810

Geothermal Technicians

$34,710

from $48,640

After adjusting for AI risk, Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers offers $15,316 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Refrigeration

0

Unique to Geothermal

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersGeothermal Technicians
Find transitions from Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersFind transitions from Geothermal Technicians