Takeover Tracker
16%low risk
Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
vs

63 shared · 34 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRefrigeration Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
Risk Score16.4%24.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 154 / 14
Median Salary$59,810$50,490
Employment397K16K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Physics
Public Safety and Security
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Installation
Operation Monitoring
Hearing Sensitivity
Engineering and Technology
Mechanical
Troubleshooting
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

31%

total discount

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

2 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of repairs and replacements made and causes of malfunctions.
87%Schedule work with customers and initiate work orders, house requisitions, and orders from stock.
37%Observe and test system operation, using gauges and instruments.
21%Supervise and instruct assistants.
13%Estimate, order, pick up, deliver, and install materials and supplies needed to maintain equipment in good working condition.

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

4 of 14 at risk
87%Keep records of company locks and keys.
67%Cut new or duplicate keys, using key cutting machines.
65%Cut new or duplicate keys, using impressions or code key machines.
59%Set up and maintain master key systems.
45%Remove interior and exterior finishes on safes and vaults, and spray on new finishes.

Wage Comparison

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers earns -$9,320(-16%) vs Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
10th
$39,130$34,750
25th
$47,850$40,650
Median
$59,810$50,490
75th
$74,820$64,330
90th
$91,020$79,340

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers2028–2035
Locksmiths and Safe Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locksmiths and Safe Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

$50,025

from $59,810

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

$38,276

from $50,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers offers $11,749 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Refrigeration

0

Unique to Locksmiths

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
Find transitions from Refrigeration Mechanics and InstallersFind transitions from Locksmiths and Safe Repairers