Takeover Tracker
vs

49 shared · 11 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRefuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas
Risk Score27.0%24.0%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile25th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 150 / 15
Median Salary$48,350$47,510
Employment139K45K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Transportation
Handling and Moving Objects
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Performing General Physical Activities
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Controlling Machines and Processes
Getting Information
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

27%

total discount

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

4 of 15 at risk
86%Fill out defective equipment reports.
73%Organize schedules for refuse collection.
59%Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse.
55%Check road or weather conditions to determine how routes will be affected.
49%Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies.

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

0 of 15 at risk
49%Unscrew or tighten pipes, casing, tubing, and pump rods, using hand and power wrenches and tongs.
49%Move pipes to and from trucks, using truck winches and motorized lifts, or by hand.
49%Dig drainage ditches around wells and storage tanks.
47%Clean trucks used in the fields.
45%Keep pipe deck and main deck areas clean and tidy.

Wage Comparison

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas earns -$840(-2%) vs Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors
Refuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas
10th
$31,810$35,650
25th
$38,330$38,330
Median
$48,350$47,510
75th
$61,010$57,170
90th
$75,200$64,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors20282035
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas20282035
20242030203520402045

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

$35,310

from $48,350

Roustabouts, Oil and Gas

$36,093

from $47,510

After adjusting for AI risk, Roustabouts, Oil and Gas offers $783 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Refuse

0

Unique to Roustabouts,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Refuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsRoustabouts, Oil and Gas