Takeover Tracker
vs

44 shared · 18 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRefuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsTire Repairers and Changers
Risk Score27.0%32.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile25th52th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$48,350$37,120
Employment139K107K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Getting Information
Analyzing Data or Information
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Mechanical
Coaching and Developing Others
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Public Safety and Security
Administration and Management

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

27%

total discount

Tire Repairers and Changers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

4 of 15 at risk
86%Fill out defective equipment reports.
73%Organize schedules for refuse collection.
59%Operate equipment that compresses collected refuse.
55%Check road or weather conditions to determine how routes will be affected.
49%Operate automated or semi-automated hoisting devices that raise refuse bins and dump contents into openings in truck bodies.

Tire Repairers and Changers

2 of 15 at risk
70%Identify tire size and ply and inflate tires accordingly.
59%Inspect tire casings for defects, such as holes or tears.
47%Clean and tidy up the shop.
45%Place wheels on balancing machines to determine counterweights required to balance wheels.
45%Reassemble tires onto wheels.

Wage Comparison

Tire Repairers and Changers earns -$11,230(-23%) vs Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors
Refuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsTire Repairers and Changers
10th
$31,810$29,880
25th
$38,330$33,990
Median
$48,350$37,120
75th
$61,010$43,810
90th
$75,200$48,900

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors20282035
Tire Repairers and Changers20282035
20242030203520402045

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tire Repairers and Changers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors

$35,310

from $48,350

Tire Repairers and Changers

$25,138

from $37,120

After adjusting for AI risk, Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors offers $10,172 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Refuse

0

Unique to Tire

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Refuse and Recyclable Material CollectorsTire Repairers and Changers