Takeover Tracker
38%medium risk
Risk Management Specialists
vs

59 shared · 22 different

core competencies

46%medium risk
Customs Brokers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRisk Management SpecialistsCustoms Brokers
Risk Score38.5%45.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile77th93th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 1511 / 15
Median Salary$80,190$81,270
Employment127K1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Clerical
Problem Sensitivity
Geography
Public Safety and Security
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Personnel and Human Resources
Mathematical Reasoning
Inductive Reasoning
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Systems AnalysisAI-Augmented
Systems Evaluation

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Risk Management Specialists

31%

total discount

Customs Brokers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Risk Management Specialists

9 of 15 at risk
87%Gather risk-related data from internal or external resources.
85%Document, and ensure communication of, key risks.
71%Produce reports or presentations that outline findings, explain risk positions, or recommend changes.
67%Maintain input or data quality of risk management systems.
53%Evaluate the risks related to green investments, such as renewable energy company stocks.

Customs Brokers

11 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor or trace the location of goods.
86%Calculate duty and tariff payments owed on shipments.
86%Quote duty and tax rates on goods to be imported, based on federal tariffs and excise taxes.
84%Request or compile necessary import documentation, such as customs invoices, certificates of origin, and cargo-control documents.
84%Arrange for transportation, warehousing, or product distribution of imported or exported products.

Wage Comparison

Customs Brokers earns +$1,080(+1%) vs Risk Management Specialists
Risk Management SpecialistsCustoms Brokers
10th
$46,420$46,230
25th
$60,140$60,820
Median
$80,190$81,270
75th
$109,120$110,030
90th
$151,780$147,830

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Risk Management Specialists2028–2035
Customs Brokers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Risk Management Specialists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Customs Brokers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Risk Management Specialists

$49,349

from $80,190

Customs Brokers

$44,048

from $81,270

After adjusting for AI risk, Risk Management Specialists offers $5,301 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Risk

0

Unique to Customs

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Risk Management SpecialistsCustoms Brokers
Find transitions from Risk Management SpecialistsFind transitions from Customs Brokers