Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders
Risk Score42.2%44.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile86th90th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)11 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$48,630$55,770
Employment22K20K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
English Language
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Processing Information
Quality Control Analysis
Rate Control
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Documenting/Recording Information
Interacting With Computers
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

27%

total discount

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

11 of 15 at risk
87%Calculate draft space and roll speed for each mill stand to plan rolling sequences and specified dimensions and tempers.
87%Select rolls, dies, roll stands, and chucks from data charts to form specified contours and to fabricate products.
86%Read rolling orders, blueprints, and mill schedules to determine setup specifications, work sequences, product dimensions, and installation procedures.
85%Examine, inspect, and measure raw materials and finished products to verify conformance to specifications.
67%Manipulate controls and observe dial indicators to monitor, adjust, and regulate speeds of machine mechanisms.

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

7 of 15 at risk
88%Record production data, and maintain production logs.
84%Observe air and temperature gauges or metal color and fluidity, and turn fuel valves or adjust controls to maintain required temperatures.
84%Observe operations inside furnaces, using television screens, to ensure that problems do not occur.
74%Draw smelted metal samples from furnaces or kettles for analysis, and calculate types and amounts of materials needed to ensure that materials meet specifications.
67%Regulate supplies of fuel and air, or control flow of electric current and water coolant to heat furnaces and adjust temperatures.

Wage Comparison

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders earns +$7,140(+15%) vs Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders
10th
$37,090$38,760
25th
$41,600$46,550
Median
$48,630$55,770
75th
$57,730$65,070
90th
$67,500$80,280

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$28,132

from $48,630

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

$31,120

from $55,770

After adjusting for AI risk, Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders offers $2,987 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rolling

0

Unique to Metal-Refining

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders