Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
vs

57 shared · 27 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Pourers and Casters, Metal

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRotary Drill Operators, Oil and GasPourers and Casters, Metal
Risk Score28.4%37.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile31th74th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$65,010$48,940
Employment13K6K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Mechanical
Developing and Building Teams
InstructingAI-Resistant
Performing General Physical Activities
Personnel and Human Resources
Handling and Moving Objects
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Written Expression

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

31%

total discount

Pourers and Casters, Metal

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

4 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of footage drilled, location and nature of strata penetrated, materials and tools used, services rendered, and time required.
86%Count sections of drill rod to determine depths of boreholes.
55%Observe pressure gauge and move throttles and levers to control the speed of rotary tables, and to regulate pressure of tools at bottoms of boreholes.
51%Push levers and brake pedals to control gasoline, diesel, electric, or steam draw works that lower and raise drill pipes and casings in and out of wells.
49%Connect sections of drill pipe, using hand tools and powered wrenches and tongs.

Pourers and Casters, Metal

5 of 15 at risk
84%Read temperature gauges and observe color changes, adjusting furnace flames, torches, or electrical heating units as necessary to melt metal to specifications.
63%Examine molds to ensure they are clean, smooth, and properly coated.
61%Transport metal ingots to storage areas, using forklifts.
59%Stencil identifying information on ingots and pigs, using special hand tools.
51%Turn valves to circulate water through cores, or spray water on filled molds to cool and solidify metal.

Wage Comparison

Pourers and Casters, Metal earns -$16,070(-25%) vs Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and GasPourers and Casters, Metal
10th
$42,750$37,250
25th
$52,600$41,410
Median
$65,010$48,940
75th
$81,550$59,850
90th
$98,510$68,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas2028–2035
Pourers and Casters, Metal2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pourers and Casters, Metal.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

$46,567

from $65,010

Pourers and Casters, Metal

$30,475

from $48,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas offers $16,092 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rotary

0

Unique to Pourers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and GasPourers and Casters, Metal
Find transitions from Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and GasFind transitions from Pourers and Casters, Metal