Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

64 shared · 15 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersCarpet Installers
Risk Score23.4%15.5%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$49,850
Employment698K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Developing and Building Teams
Design
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Customer and Personal Service
Mechanical
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Carpet Installers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Carpet Installers

3 of 15 at risk
87%Take measurements and study floor sketches to calculate the area to be carpeted and the amount of material needed.
85%Draw building diagrams and record dimensions.
57%Plan the layout of the carpet, allowing for expected traffic patterns and placing seams for best appearance and longest wear.
45%Clean up before and after installation, including vacuuming carpet and discarding remnant pieces.
9%Cut and install vinyl composition tile or vinyl base.

Wage Comparison

Carpet Installers earns -$9,460(-16%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersCarpet Installers
10th
$38,760$32,830
25th
$47,550$39,140
Median
$59,310$49,850
75th
$75,620$65,530
90th
$98,370$83,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters20282035
Carpet Installers20282035
20242030203520402045

Carpet Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Carpet Installers

$42,133

from $49,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $3,280 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Carpet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Rough CarpentersCarpet Installers