Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

64 shared · 18 different

core competencies

17%low risk
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersCement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Risk Score23.4%17.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 151 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$54,660
Employment698K205K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Building and Construction
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Mechanical
Production and Processing
Administration and Management
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Scheduling Work and Activities
Education and Training
Written Comprehension
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

1 of 15 at risk
50%Monitor how the wind, heat, or cold affect the curing of the concrete throughout the entire process.
45%Mix cement, sand, and water to produce concrete, grout, or slurry, using hoe, trowel, tamper, scraper, or concrete-mixing machine.
41%Produce rough concrete surface, using broom.
41%Apply hardening and sealing compounds to cure surface of concrete, and waterproof or restore surface.
41%Operate power vibrator to compact concrete.

Wage Comparison

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers earns -$4,650(-8%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersCement Masons and Concrete Finishers
10th
$38,760$38,290
25th
$47,550$46,020
Median
$59,310$54,660
75th
$75,620$65,840
90th
$98,370$87,620

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

$45,237

from $54,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $177 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Cement

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Rough CarpentersCement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Find transitions from Rough CarpentersFind transitions from Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers