Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

62 shared · 17 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersConstruction Laborers
Risk Score23.4%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$46,730
Employment698K1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Design
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Coaching and Developing Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Visualization
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Scheduling Work and Activities
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Developing and Building Teams
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Construction Laborers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Construction Laborers

3 of 15 at risk
71%Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.
70%Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.
68%Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.
49%Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.
47%Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

Wage Comparison

Construction Laborers earns -$12,580(-21%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersConstruction Laborers
10th
$38,760$34,200
25th
$47,550$38,100
Median
$59,310$46,730
75th
$75,620$58,910
90th
$98,370$77,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters20282035
Construction Laborers20282035
20242030203520402045

Construction Laborers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Construction Laborers

$38,412

from $46,730

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $7,002 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Construction

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Rough CarpentersConstruction Laborers