Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

60 shared · 20 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Helpers--Carpenters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters
Risk Score23.4%23.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$41,600
Employment698K25K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Coaching and Developing Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Transportation
Scheduling Work and Activities
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Developing and Building Teams
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Training and Teaching Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
English Language

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters earns -$17,710(-30%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters
10th
$38,760$31,540
25th
$47,550$35,870
Median
$59,310$41,600
75th
$75,620$46,780
90th
$98,370$52,380

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035
Helpers--Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Rough Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $13,727 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Rough CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters
Find transitions from Rough CarpentersFind transitions from Helpers--Carpenters