Rough Carpenters vs Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Rough Carpenters

72 shared · 12 different

core competencies

medium risk

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic

Side-by-Side Comparison

Rough Carpenters leads 4–1

Metric	Rough Carpenters	Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score	23.4%	34.8%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	15th	66th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	4 / 15	5 / 14
Median Salary	$59,310	$61,870
Employment	698K	6K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction

Engineering and Technology

Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Performing General Physical Activities

Processing Information

Stamina

Extent Flexibility

Computers and Electronics

Controlling Machines and Processes

Static Strength

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Trunk Strength

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.

62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.

51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.

43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic

5 of 14 at risk

86%Add dimensional details to blueprints or drawings made by other workers.

84%Plan locations and sequences of cutting, drilling, bending, rolling, punching, and welding operations, using compasses, protractors, dividers, and rules.

84%Compute layout dimensions, and determine and mark reference points on metal stock or workpieces for further processing, such as welding and assembly.

63%Inspect machined parts to verify conformance to specifications.

53%Plan and develop layouts from blueprints and templates, applying knowledge of trigonometry, design, effects of heat, and properties of metals.

Wage Comparison

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic earns +$2,560(+4%) vs Rough Carpenters

Rough CarpentersLayout Workers, Metal and Plastic

10th

$38,760$40,430

25th

$47,550$51,810

Median

$59,310$61,870

75th

$75,620$76,980

90th

$98,370$93,230

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Rough Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic

$40,364

from $61,870

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $5,050 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Rough

Unique to Layout

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Regulatory Barriers

Creativity

Decision Complexity

Rough CarpentersLayout Workers, Metal and Plastic

Find transitions from Rough Carpenters Find transitions from Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic