Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

62 shared · 28 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersMechanical Door Repairers
Risk Score23.4%14.7%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$51,050
Employment698K28K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Coaching and Developing Others
Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Production and Processing
Developing and Building Teams
Administration and Management
Controlling Machines and Processes
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Handling and Moving Objects
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Mechanical Door Repairers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Mechanical Door Repairers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Complete required paperwork, such as work orders, according to services performed or required.
88%Collect payment upon job completion.
86%Order replacement springs, sections, or slats.
51%Inspect job sites, assessing headroom, side room, or other conditions to determine appropriateness of door for a given location.
37%Lubricate door closer oil chambers and pack spindles with leather washers.

Wage Comparison

Mechanical Door Repairers earns -$8,260(-14%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersMechanical Door Repairers
10th
$38,760$37,160
25th
$47,550$44,720
Median
$59,310$51,050
75th
$75,620$61,350
90th
$98,370$73,160

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters20282035
Mechanical Door Repairers20282035
20242030203520402045

Mechanical Door Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Mechanical Door Repairers

$43,535

from $51,050

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $1,878 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Mechanical

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Rough CarpentersMechanical Door Repairers