Rough Carpenters vs Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Rough Carpenters

68 shared · 14 different

core competencies

low risk

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

Side-by-Side Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters leads 5–0

Metric	Rough Carpenters	Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Risk Score	23.4%	17.8%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Low Risk
Risk Percentile	15th	3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	4 / 15	3 / 15
Median Salary	$59,310	$62,970
Employment	698K	456K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Coaching and Developing Others

Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others

Administration and Management

Mechanical

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment

Developing and Building Teams

Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Scheduling Work and Activities

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Production and Processing

Speed of Limb Movement

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.

62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.

51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.

43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk

86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.

55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.

51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.

43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.

39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Wage Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters earns +$3,660(+6%) vs Rough Carpenters

Rough CarpentersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters

10th

$38,760$40,670

25th

$47,550$48,860

Median

$59,310$62,970

75th

$75,620$81,900

90th

$98,370$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $6,360 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Rough

Unique to Pipe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Decision Complexity

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Rough CarpentersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters

Find transitions from Rough Carpenters Find transitions from Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters