Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

66 shared · 16 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Plasterers and Stucco Masons

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersPlasterers and Stucco Masons
Risk Score23.4%19.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 151 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$56,020
Employment698K21K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Mechanical
Production and Processing
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Scheduling Work and Activities
Education and Training
Oral Comprehension
Design
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Handling and Moving Objects

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

1 of 15 at risk
85%Determine materials needed to complete the job and place orders accordingly.
49%Mix mortar and plaster to desired consistency or direct workers who perform mixing.
49%Spray acoustic materials or texture finish over walls or ceilings.
45%Clean job sites.
43%Rough the undercoat surface with a scratcher so the finish coat will adhere.

Wage Comparison

Plasterers and Stucco Masons earns -$3,290(-6%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersPlasterers and Stucco Masons
10th
$38,760$38,610
25th
$47,550$46,990
Median
$59,310$56,020
75th
$75,620$72,210
90th
$98,370$92,930

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035
Plasterers and Stucco Masons2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Plasterers and Stucco Masons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

$44,850

from $56,020

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $564 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Plasterers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Rough CarpentersPlasterers and Stucco Masons
Find transitions from Rough CarpentersFind transitions from Plasterers and Stucco Masons