Takeover Tracker
23%low risk
Rough Carpenters
vs

75 shared · 10 different

core competencies

25%medium risk
Solar Photovoltaic Installers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricRough CarpentersSolar Photovoltaic Installers
Risk Score23.4%25.2%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile15th20th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$51,860
Employment698K28K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Engineering and Technology
Controlling Machines and Processes
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Scheduling Work and Activities
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Building and Construction
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Speed of Limb Movement

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

6 of 15 at risk
86%Examine designs to determine current requirements for all parts of the photovoltaic (PV) system electrical circuit.
86%Visually inspect and test photovoltaic (PV) modules or systems.
84%Program, adjust, or configure inverters and controls for desired set points and operating modes.
74%Test operating voltages to ensure operation within acceptable limits for power conditioning equipment, such as inverters and controllers.
55%Identify installation locations with proper orientation, area, solar access, or structural integrity for photovoltaic (PV) arrays.

Wage Comparison

Solar Photovoltaic Installers earns -$7,450(-13%) vs Rough Carpenters
Rough CarpentersSolar Photovoltaic Installers
10th
$38,760$39,070
25th
$47,550$46,040
Median
$59,310$51,860
75th
$75,620$63,020
90th
$98,370$80,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035
Solar Photovoltaic Installers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Rough Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Solar Photovoltaic Installers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Solar Photovoltaic Installers

$38,791

from $51,860

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $6,622 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Rough

0

Unique to Solar

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Rough CarpentersSolar Photovoltaic Installers
Find transitions from Rough CarpentersFind transitions from Solar Photovoltaic Installers