Rough Carpenters vs Tile and Marble Setters AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Rough Carpenters

54 shared · 21 different

core competencies

medium risk

Tile and Marble Setters

Side-by-Side Comparison

Rough Carpenters leads 4–1

Metric	Rough Carpenters	Tile and Marble Setters
Risk Score	23.4%	26.5%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	15th	23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	4 / 15	3 / 15
Median Salary	$59,310	$52,240
Employment	698K	39K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction

Production and Processing

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Developing and Building Teams

Mechanical

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Administration and Management

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Design

Education and Training

Coaching and Developing Others

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Tile and Marble Setters

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.

62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.

51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.

43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Tile and Marble Setters

3 of 15 at risk

85%Prepare cost and labor estimates, based on calculations of time and materials needed for project.

71%Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.

53%Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.

41%Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.

41%Level concrete and allow to dry.

Wage Comparison

Tile and Marble Setters earns -$7,070(-12%) vs Rough Carpenters

Rough CarpentersTile and Marble Setters

10th

$38,760$36,140

25th

$47,550$44,540

Median

$59,310$52,240

75th

$75,620$64,980

90th

$98,370$82,960

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Rough Carpenters2028–2035

Tile and Marble Setters2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Rough Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tile and Marble Setters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

Tile and Marble Setters

$38,407

from $52,240

After adjusting for AI risk, Rough Carpenters offers $7,007 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Rough

Unique to Tile

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Regulatory Barriers

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

Rough CarpentersTile and Marble Setters

Find transitions from Rough Carpenters Find transitions from Tile and Marble Setters