Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Security Managers
vs

75 shared · 16 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Transportation Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSecurity ManagersTransportation Managers
Risk Score28.7%27.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile32th29th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$136,550$102,010
Employment631K213K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Public Safety and Security
Education and Training
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
English Language
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Psychology
Law and Government
Staffing Organizational Units
Coaching and Developing Others
Operations Analysis

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Security Managers

35%

total discount

Transportation Managers

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Security Managers

3 of 15 at risk
67%Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols.
53%Develop budgets for security operations.
51%Develop, conduct, support, or assist in governmental reviews, internal corporate evaluations, or assessments of the overall effectiveness of facility and personnel security processes.
49%Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures.
49%Direct or participate in emergency management and contingency planning.

Transportation Managers

6 of 15 at risk
86%Monitor spending to ensure that expenses are consistent with approved budgets.
80%Implement schedule or policy changes for transportation services.
59%Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.
51%Direct activities related to dispatching, routing, or tracking transportation vehicles, such as aircraft or railroad cars.
51%Prepare management recommendations, such as proposed fee and tariff increases or schedule changes.

Wage Comparison

Transportation Managers earns -$34,540(-25%) vs Security Managers
Security ManagersTransportation Managers
10th
$68,860$61,200
25th
$100,010$78,360
Median
$136,550$102,010
75th
$179,190$136,050
90th
$227,590$180,590

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Security Managers2028–2035
Transportation Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Transportation Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Security Managers

$97,306

from $136,550

Transportation Managers

$73,600

from $102,010

After adjusting for AI risk, Security Managers offers $23,705 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Security

0

Unique to Transportation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Security ManagersTransportation Managers
Find transitions from Security ManagersFind transitions from Transportation Managers