Takeover Tracker
18%low risk
Shampooers
vs

48 shared · 13 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Bartenders

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricShampooersBartenders
Risk Score17.7%34.3%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile3th63th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 95 / 15
Median Salary$31,470$33,530
Employment9K746K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
PersuasionAI-Resistant
Handling and Moving Objects
Oral Expression
InstructingAI-Resistant
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Oral Comprehension
Information OrderingAI-Vulnerable
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Education and Training

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Shampooers

25%

total discount

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Shampooers

2 of 9 at risk
86%Maintain treatment records.
61%Sweep hair from the salon floor.
49%Launder and fold the towels that are used for drying customers' hair.
47%Refill and stock work stations with supplies, such as shampoos and conditioners.
36%Treat scalp conditions and hair loss, using specialized lotions, shampoos, or equipment such as infrared lamps or vibrating equipment.

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Wage Comparison

Bartenders earns +$2,060(+7%) vs Shampooers
ShampooersBartenders
10th
$22,880$19,930
25th
$27,390$25,790
Median
$31,470$33,530
75th
$35,610$46,790
90th
$35,970$71,920

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Shampooers20282035
Bartenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Shampooers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bartenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Shampooers

$25,912

from $31,470

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

After adjusting for AI risk, Shampooers offers $3,873 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Shampooers

0

Unique to Bartenders

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
ShampooersBartenders