Takeover Tracker
24%low risk
Sheet Metal Workers
vs

58 shared · 9 different

core competencies

26%medium risk
Tile and Marble Setters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSheet Metal WorkersTile and Marble Setters
Risk Score24.2%26.5%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile17th23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$60,850$52,240
Employment117K39K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Mechanical
Production and Processing
Auditory Attention
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Handling and Moving Objects
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Thinking Creatively
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Sheet Metal Workers

27%

total discount

Tile and Marble Setters

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Sheet Metal Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Develop or lay out patterns, using computerized metalworking equipment.
86%Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).
85%Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.
84%Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.
63%Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

Tile and Marble Setters

3 of 15 at risk
85%Prepare cost and labor estimates, based on calculations of time and materials needed for project.
71%Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.
53%Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.
41%Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.
41%Level concrete and allow to dry.

Wage Comparison

Tile and Marble Setters earns -$8,610(-14%) vs Sheet Metal Workers
Sheet Metal WorkersTile and Marble Setters
10th
$38,030$36,140
25th
$47,290$44,540
Median
$60,850$52,240
75th
$79,620$64,980
90th
$102,680$82,960

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Sheet Metal Workers2028–2035
Tile and Marble Setters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Sheet Metal Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tile and Marble Setters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Sheet Metal Workers

$46,112

from $60,850

Tile and Marble Setters

$38,407

from $52,240

After adjusting for AI risk, Sheet Metal Workers offers $7,705 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Sheet

0

Unique to Tile

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Sheet Metal WorkersTile and Marble Setters
Find transitions from Sheet Metal WorkersFind transitions from Tile and Marble Setters