Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs
vs

37 shared · 46 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Security Guards

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSheriffs and Deputy SheriffsSecurity Guards
Risk Score21.8%38.3%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile11th76th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 156 / 14
Median Salary$76,290$38,370
Employment667K1.2M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government
NegotiationAI-Resistant
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Public Safety and Security
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Psychology
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
Time Management
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Education and Training
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Written Expression

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs

37%

total discount

Security Guards

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs

5 of 15 at risk
86%Record daily activities and submit logs and other related reports and paperwork to appropriate authorities.
81%Verify that the proper legal charges have been made against law offenders.
77%Notify patrol units to take violators into custody or to provide needed assistance or medical aid.
77%Question individuals entering secured areas to determine their business, directing and rerouting individuals as necessary.
52%Investigate illegal or suspicious activities.

Security Guards

6 of 14 at risk
86%Monitor and authorize entrance and departure of employees, visitors, and other persons to guard against theft and maintain security of premises.
86%Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.
86%Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.
85%Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire or presence of unauthorized persons.
61%Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Wage Comparison

Security Guards earns -$37,920(-50%) vs Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs
Sheriffs and Deputy SheriffsSecurity Guards
10th
$47,640$29,800
25th
$58,980$35,100
Median
$76,290$38,370
75th
$97,190$46,660
90th
$115,280$59,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs2028–2035
Security Guards2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Guards.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs

$59,628

from $76,290

Security Guards

$23,693

from $38,370

After adjusting for AI risk, Sheriffs and Deputy Sheriffs offers $35,935 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Sheriffs

0

Unique to Security

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Sheriffs and Deputy SheriffsSecurity Guards
Find transitions from Sheriffs and Deputy SheriffsFind transitions from Security Guards