Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Ship and Boat Captains
vs

84 shared · 21 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Commercial Pilots

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricShip and Boat CaptainsCommercial Pilots
Risk Score27.6%34.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile28th63th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 1510 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$122,670
Employment35K52K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Operation and Control
Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Performing General Physical Activities
Handling and Moving Objects
Response Orientation
Public Safety and Security
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Management of Personnel Resources
Getting Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Ship and Boat Captains

35%

total discount

Commercial Pilots

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Ship and Boat Captains

8 of 15 at risk
88%Measure depths of water, using depth-measuring equipment.
86%Read gauges to verify sufficient levels of hydraulic fluid, air pressure, or oxygen.
86%Maintain records of daily activities, personnel reports, ship positions and movements, ports of call, weather and sea conditions, pollution control efforts, or cargo or passenger status.
78%Signal passing vessels, using whistles, flashing lights, flags, or radios.
78%Monitor the loading or discharging of cargo or passengers.

Commercial Pilots

10 of 15 at risk
89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

Wage Comparison

Commercial Pilots earns +$37,130(+43%) vs Ship and Boat Captains
Ship and Boat CaptainsCommercial Pilots
10th
$46,260$59,330
25th
$60,800$81,660
Median
$85,540$122,670
75th
$124,530$175,050
90th
$164,230$239,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Ship and Boat Captains2028–2035
Commercial Pilots2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Ship and Boat Captains has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Pilots.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Ship and Boat Captains

$61,888

from $85,540

Commercial Pilots

$80,729

from $122,670

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Pilots offers $18,841 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Ship

0

Unique to Commercial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Ship and Boat CaptainsCommercial Pilots
Find transitions from Ship and Boat CaptainsFind transitions from Commercial Pilots