Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Ship and Boat Captains
vs

62 shared · 36 different

core competencies

44%medium risk
Locomotive Engineers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricShip and Boat CaptainsLocomotive Engineers
Risk Score27.6%44.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile28th90th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 1513 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$77,400
Employment35K32K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Geography
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Management of Personnel Resources
Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Spatial Orientation
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Performing Administrative Activities
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
InstructingAI-Resistant

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Ship and Boat Captains

35%

total discount

Locomotive Engineers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Ship and Boat Captains

8 of 15 at risk
88%Measure depths of water, using depth-measuring equipment.
86%Read gauges to verify sufficient levels of hydraulic fluid, air pressure, or oxygen.
86%Maintain records of daily activities, personnel reports, ship positions and movements, ports of call, weather and sea conditions, pollution control efforts, or cargo or passenger status.
78%Signal passing vessels, using whistles, flashing lights, flags, or radios.
78%Monitor the loading or discharging of cargo or passengers.

Locomotive Engineers

13 of 15 at risk
87%Prepare reports regarding any problems encountered, such as accidents, signaling problems, unscheduled stops, or delays.
86%Monitor gauges or meters that measure speed, amperage, battery charge, or air pressure in brakelines or in main reservoirs.
85%Check to ensure that brake examination tests are conducted at shunting stations.
85%Check to ensure that documentation, such as procedure manuals or logbooks, are in the driver's cab and available for staff use.
77%Interpret train orders, signals, or railroad rules and regulations that govern the operation of locomotives.

Wage Comparison

Locomotive Engineers earns -$8,140(-10%) vs Ship and Boat Captains
Ship and Boat CaptainsLocomotive Engineers
10th
$46,260$60,980
25th
$60,800$73,410
Median
$85,540$77,400
75th
$124,530$84,230
90th
$164,230$100,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Ship and Boat Captains2028–2035
Locomotive Engineers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Ship and Boat Captains has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locomotive Engineers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Ship and Boat Captains

$61,888

from $85,540

Locomotive Engineers

$43,282

from $77,400

After adjusting for AI risk, Ship and Boat Captains offers $18,606 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Ship

0

Unique to Locomotive

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Ship and Boat CaptainsLocomotive Engineers
Find transitions from Ship and Boat CaptainsFind transitions from Locomotive Engineers