Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
Risk Score26.6%29.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile24th37th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$63,000$62,340
Employment232K1.4M

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Interacting With Computers
Performing Administrative Activities
Documenting/Recording Information
Getting Information
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Law and Government
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
History and Archeology
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Therapy and Counseling
Psychology

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

34%

total discount

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

6 of 15 at risk
84%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, or administrative regulations.
71%Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
71%Prepare, administer, or grade tests or assignments to evaluate students' progress.
55%Modify the general kindergarten or elementary education curriculum for special-needs students.
53%Develop individual educational plans (IEPs) designed to promote students' educational, physical, or social development.

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

6 of 15 at risk
66%Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.
61%Provide a variety of materials and resources for children to explore, manipulate, and use, both in learning activities and in imaginative play.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.
53%Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.

Wage Comparison

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education earns -$660(-1%) vs Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
10th
$47,590$46,440
25th
$57,050$50,680
Median
$63,000$62,340
75th
$79,320$79,410
90th
$100,620$102,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School20282035
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

$46,242

from $63,000

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

$43,819

from $62,340

After adjusting for AI risk, Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School offers $2,423 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Special

0

Unique to Elementary

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary SchoolElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education