Subway and Streetcar Operators vs Bridge and Lock Tenders AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

high risk

Subway and Streetcar Operators

41 shared · 28 different

core competencies

medium risk

Bridge and Lock Tenders

Side-by-Side Comparison

Bridge and Lock Tenders leads 4–1

Metric	Subway and Streetcar Operators	Bridge and Lock Tenders
Risk Score	52.4%	40.9%
Risk Tier	High Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	98th	83th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	10 / 12	8 / 15
Median Salary	$84,830	$58,490
Employment	9K	3K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Transportation

Customer and Personal Service

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Reaction Time

Getting Information

Operation and Control

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Response Orientation

Operation Monitoring

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Subway and Streetcar Operators

28%

total discount

Bridge and Lock Tenders

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Subway and Streetcar Operators

10 of 12 at risk

89%Make announcements to passengers, such as notifications of upcoming stops or schedule delays.

89%Collect fares from passengers, and issue change and transfers.

89%Record transactions and coin receptor readings to verify the amount of money collected.

87%Regulate vehicle speed and the time spent at each stop to maintain schedules.

87%Report delays, mechanical problems, and emergencies to supervisors or dispatchers, using radios.

Bridge and Lock Tenders

8 of 15 at risk

86%Record names, types, and destinations of vessels passing through bridge openings or locks, and numbers of trains or vehicles crossing bridges.

86%Prepare accident reports.

61%Inspect canal and bridge equipment, and areas such as roadbeds for damage or defects, reporting problems to supervisors as necessary.

59%Observe approaching vessels to determine size and speed, and listen for whistle signals indicating desire to pass.

57%Check that bridges are clear of vehicles and pedestrians prior to opening.

Wage Comparison

Bridge and Lock Tenders earns -$26,340(-31%) vs Subway and Streetcar Operators

Subway and Streetcar OperatorsBridge and Lock Tenders

10th

$52,260$32,690

25th

$59,500$43,700

Median

$84,830$58,490

75th

$87,940$69,530

90th

$87,940$74,400

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Subway and Streetcar Operators2028–2035

Bridge and Lock Tenders2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Bridge and Lock Tenders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Subway and Streetcar Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Subway and Streetcar Operators

$40,421

from $84,830

Bridge and Lock Tenders

$34,556

from $58,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Subway and Streetcar Operators offers $5,866 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Subway

Unique to Bridge

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

Social Intelligence

Creativity

Subway and Streetcar OperatorsBridge and Lock Tenders

Find transitions from Subway and Streetcar Operators Find transitions from Bridge and Lock Tenders