Takeover Tracker
17%low risk
Surgeons
vs

58 shared · 44 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSurgeonsAthletic Trainers
Risk Score17.5%23.4%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile3th15th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 135 / 15
Median SalaryN/A$60,250
EmploymentN/A29K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Analyzing Data or Information
Medicine and Dentistry
Processing Information
Science
Reading ComprehensionAI-Vulnerable
Finger Dexterity
English Language
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Biology
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Surgeons

41%

total discount

Athletic Trainers

37%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Surgeons

3 of 13 at risk
86%Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment.
73%Prepare case histories.
51%Conduct research to develop and test surgical techniques that can improve operating procedures and outcomes.
49%Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary.
49%Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.

Athletic Trainers

5 of 15 at risk
86%File athlete insurance claims and communicate with insurance providers.
68%Perform general administrative tasks, such as keeping records or writing reports.
51%Assess and report the progress of recovering athletes to coaches or physicians.
51%Plan or implement comprehensive athletic injury or illness prevention programs.
51%Inspect playing fields to locate any items that could injure players.

Wage Comparison

SurgeonsAthletic Trainers
10th
N/A$45,380
25th
N/A$51,590
Median
N/A$60,250
75th
N/A$70,880
90th
N/A$84,100

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Surgeons20282035
Athletic Trainers20282035
20242030203520402045

Surgeons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Athletic Trainers.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Surgeons

0

Unique to Athletic

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
SurgeonsAthletic Trainers