Takeover Tracker
17%low risk
Surgeons
vs

56 shared · 45 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricSurgeonsExercise Physiologists
Risk Score17.5%27.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile3th26th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 135 / 15
Median SalaryN/A$58,160
EmploymentN/A8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Medicine and Dentistry
Finger Dexterity
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Assisting and Caring for Others
Arm-Hand Steadiness
Problem Sensitivity
Control Precision
Near Vision
Performing General Physical Activities
Documenting/Recording Information
Flexibility of Closure

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Surgeons

41%

total discount

Exercise Physiologists

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Surgeons

3 of 13 at risk
86%Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment.
73%Prepare case histories.
51%Conduct research to develop and test surgical techniques that can improve operating procedures and outcomes.
49%Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary.
49%Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.

Exercise Physiologists

5 of 15 at risk
59%Measure amount of body fat, using such equipment as hydrostatic scale, skinfold calipers, or tape measures.
55%Develop exercise programs to improve participant strength, flexibility, endurance, or circulatory functioning, in accordance with exercise science standards, regulatory requirements, and credentialing requirements.
54%Prescribe individualized exercise programs, specifying equipment such as treadmill, exercise bicycle, ergometers, or perceptual goggles.
52%Interpret exercise program participant data to evaluate progress or identify needed program changes.
51%Plan or conduct exercise physiology research projects.

Wage Comparison

SurgeonsExercise Physiologists
10th
N/A$40,930
25th
N/A$48,650
Median
N/A$58,160
75th
N/A$65,430
90th
N/A$79,830

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Surgeons20282035
Exercise Physiologists20282035
20242030203520402045

Surgeons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Exercise Physiologists.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Surgeons

0

Unique to Exercise

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
SurgeonsExercise Physiologists