Takeover Tracker
vs

68 shared · 11 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricWelders, Cutters, and Welder FittersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Risk Score21.4%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile10th3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$51,000$62,970
Employment424K456K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Mechanical
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Public Safety and Security
Controlling Machines and Processes
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Assisting and Caring for Others
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Production and Processing
Performing General Physical Activities
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters

27%

total discount

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters

5 of 15 at risk
84%Examine workpieces for defects and measure workpieces with straightedges or templates to ensure conformance with specifications.
77%Mark or tag material with proper job number, piece marks, and other identifying marks as required.
73%Select and install torches, torch tips, filler rods, and flux, according to welding chart specifications or types and thicknesses of metals.
57%Analyze engineering drawings, blueprints, specifications, sketches, work orders, and material safety data sheets to plan layout, assembly, and welding operations.
55%Determine required equipment and welding methods, applying knowledge of metallurgy, geometry, and welding techniques.

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Wage Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters earns +$11,970(+23%) vs Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters
Welders, Cutters, and Welder FittersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
10th
$38,130$40,670
25th
$45,580$48,860
Median
$51,000$62,970
75th
$61,610$81,900
90th
$75,850$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters20282035
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters20282035
20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Welders, Cutters, and Welder Fitters

$40,096

from $51,000

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $11,678 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Welders,

0

Unique to Pipe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Welders, Cutters, and Welder FittersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters