Adapted Physical Education Specialists vs Recreation Workers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

67 shared · 21 different

core competencies

low risk

Recreation Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Recreation Workers leads 4–1

Metric	Adapted Physical Education Specialists	Recreation Workers
Risk Score	24.8%	22.7%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Low Risk
Risk Percentile	19th	13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	5 / 15	4 / 15
Median Salary	$67,430	$35,380
Employment	39K	310K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Education and Training

Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Developing Objectives and Strategies

Public Safety and Security

Performing General Physical Activities

Psychology

Training and Teaching Others

Scheduling Work and Activities

Coaching and Developing Others

Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Sociology and Anthropology

Reading ComprehensionAI-Vulnerable

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

38%

total discount

Recreation Workers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

5 of 15 at risk

86%Maintain thorough student records to document attendance, participation, or progress, ensuring confidentiality of all records.

69%Write reports to summarize student performance, social growth, or physical development.

57%Prepare lesson plans in accordance with individualized education plans (IEPs) and the functional abilities or needs of students.

55%Write or modify individualized education plans (IEPs) for students with intellectual or physical disabilities.

51%Assist in screening or placement of students in adapted physical education programs.

Recreation Workers

4 of 15 at risk

86%Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists.

86%Schedule maintenance and use of facilities.

84%Document individuals' progress toward meeting their treatment goals.

51%Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities.

49%Evaluate recreation areas, facilities, and services to determine if they are producing desired results.

Wage Comparison

Recreation Workers earns -$32,050(-48%) vs Adapted Physical Education Specialists

Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsRecreation Workers

10th

$43,220$25,640

25th

$53,470$30,460

Median

$67,430$35,380

75th

$87,890$41,120

90th

$109,360$49,460

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Adapted Physical Education Specialists2028–2035

Recreation Workers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Recreation Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Adapted Physical Education Specialists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

$50,687

from $67,430

Recreation Workers

$27,335

from $35,380

After adjusting for AI risk, Adapted Physical Education Specialists offers $23,353 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Adapted

Unique to Recreation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Regulatory Barriers

Decision Complexity

Creativity

Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsRecreation Workers

Find transitions from Adapted Physical Education Specialists Find transitions from Recreation Workers