Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAdministrative Services ManagersFirst-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators
Risk Score36.2%30.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile69th41th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 147 / 15
Median SalaryN/AN/A
EmploymentN/AN/A

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Getting Information
Handling and Moving Objects
Clerical
Performing Administrative Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Administrative Services Managers

33%

total discount

First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Administrative Services Managers

6 of 14 at risk
86%Prepare and review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency.
84%Monitor the facility to ensure that it remains safe, secure, and well-maintained.
84%Acquire, distribute and store supplies.
80%Dispose of, or oversee the disposal of, surplus or unclaimed property.
78%Oversee the maintenance and repair of machinery, equipment, and electrical and mechanical systems.

First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators

7 of 15 at risk
86%Review orders, production schedules, blueprints, or shipping or receiving notices to determine work sequences and material shipping dates, types, volumes, or destinations.
86%Maintain or verify records of time, materials, expenditures, or crew activities.
86%Prepare, compile, and submit reports on work activities, operations, production, or work-related accidents.
57%Examine, measure, or weigh cargo or materials to determine specific handling requirements.
53%Plan work assignments and equipment allocations to meet transportation, operations or production goals.

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Administrative Services Managers20282035
First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators20282035
20242030203520402045

First-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Administrative Services Managers.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Administrative

0

Unique to First-Line

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Administrative Services ManagersFirst-Line Supervisors of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators